Skip to content
ADVERTISEMENT

Hiring confidence more than doubles year-on-year, ManpowerGroup finds

The UK’s Net Employment Outlook stood at 23% for the fourth quarter of 2026, compared with 11% in the same period of 2025.

Hiring confidence more than doubles year-on-year, ManpowerGroup finds
ADVERTISEMENT

UK hiring confidence remained more than twice as high as a year earlier, the latest ManpowerGroup Employment Outlook Survey found.

The UK’s Net Employment Outlook stood at 23% for the fourth quarter of 2026, compared with 11% in the same period of 2025.

It fell from 36% in the third quarter, when a wave of delayed recruitment decisions contributed to a higher reading.

Four in 10 employers expect to increase staffing levels during the final quarter, while 17% plan to reduce their workforces.

Lee Chant, managing director for the UK and Ireland at ManpowerGroup UK, said: “At first glance, the story looks like hiring confidence has fallen, but that’s only true if you compare it to one of the strongest quarters we’ve ever seen.

ADVERTISEMENT

“The real story is how employers have responded to the past 12 months. 

“Businesses have faced political change, rising employment costs, geopolitical disruption and no shortage of uncertainty, yet they have continued to invest in people and plan for growth.”

Chant added: “Many would have expected confidence to weaken much further. Instead, UK employers have shown a level of resilience that shouldn’t be underestimated.”

ADVERTISEMENT

The East of England recorded the strongest outlook at 35%, up 40% year-on-year and its highest level in two years.

Chant said: “The fact that confidence has improved right across the country says a lot about the adaptability of UK businesses.

ADVERTISEMENT

“Behind some of the tougher headlines, we’re seeing investment, opportunity and demand for skills continue to emerge.”

ADVERTISEMENT

Employers across all nine sectors expected staffing levels to increase during the fourth quarter.

The information sector recorded the highest outlook at 34%.

Hospitality posted the largest annual increase at 20%, followed by trade and logistics at 19 points and construction and real estate at 18 points.

Employers with between 250 and 999 workers recorded an outlook of 31%, down 12 points from the previous quarter but six points higher than a year earlier.

ADVERTISEMENT

Businesses with at least 5,000 employees recorded the largest annual increase by company size, up 23%

The UK’s 23% outlook was above the European average of 20%. 

Chant said: “When you consider everything businesses have had to contend with over the past year, these figures are better than many would have expected. 

“Employers have remained cautious, but they have not stopped hiring. 

“As we approach 2027, the labour market is ending the year on firmer ground than many predicted.”

ADVERTISEMENT