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Private sector pay awards hold at 3.5% in March – IDR

The proportion of pay awards worth 4% or more increased, rising from 16% in February to over one fifth in the latest sample.

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Median pay awards in the UK private sector have remained stable at 3.5% for the three months to March 2026, according to the latest data from Incomes Data Research (IDR).

The proportion of pay awards worth 4% or more increased, rising from 16% in February to over one fifth in the latest sample.

This has pushed the upper quartile slightly higher, from 3.7% to 3.8%.

The same trend reflected across the wider economy, where the median also held at 3.5%.

Most pay settlements, around 63%, continued to fall within the 3.0% to 3.99% range, although this share has declined slightly compared to previous months.

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Sector-level data showed variation beneath the headline figures.

Private services saw a modest increase in pay awards, with the median rising to 3.5%, driven in part by higher settlements in retail.

In contrast, manufacturing and production outcomes remained unchanged, with a median of 3.5% and a stable interquartile range between 3.0% and 3.8%.

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Looking ahead, early indications suggest that while the median pay award is likely to remain steady, higher-end increases may continue to rise.

Preliminary data for the three months to April 2026 pointed to an upper quartile of 4.0%, reflecting a growing number of settlements at or above this level.

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Zoe Woolacott, pay researcher at Incomes Data Research, said: “Higher-end awards worth 4% or more are more common in April than at the start of the year due to the influence of the uplift in the National Living Wage.

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“This year’s increase was 4.1%, which brought the minimum hourly rate of pay for workers aged 21 and over to £12.71.

“This particularly impacts workers in the low-paying sectors such as care, hospitality and retail.”