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Middle earners repay the most on student loans, analysis finds

The research identified a “student loan danger zone” for graduates starting their careers on salaries between £45,000 and £50,000.

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Graduates earning middle-range salaries could end up repaying more on student loans than either lower or higher earners under the current Plan 2 system, analysis from Rathbones revealed.

The research identified a “student loan danger zone” for graduates starting their careers on salaries between £45,000 and £50,000.

According to the analysis, a graduate earning around £47,000 with a £50,000 Plan 2 student loan could repay approximately £136,000 over 30 years – nearly three times the original amount borrowed.

The findings are based on current Plan 2 rules, including an interest rate capped at 6%, annual salary growth of 4%, Retail Prices Index-linked inflation of 3%, and loan write-off after 30 years.

The issue arises because graduates in this salary range earn too much to benefit significantly from loan write-offs, but not enough to repay the balance quickly, allowing interest to accumulate for decades.

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Graduates starting on £40,000 are also heavily impacted, repaying more than £100,000 over the full 30-year term while still failing to clear the balance before write-off.

By contrast, higher earners may pay less overall.

Rathbones estimated that a graduate starting on around £63,000 would repay roughly £90,000 in total, as their earnings are high enough to cover interest immediately and clear the loan more quickly.

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Lower earners starting on £30,000 are estimated to repay around £50,000 over 30 years, with much of the outstanding balance eventually written off.

Ed Wood, financial planning director at Rathbones, said: “Many people assume the highest earners are worst hit by student loans, but the reality is more complex.

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“Middle earners can end up paying the most simply because they’re trapped repaying for longer, allowing interest to build up year after year.”

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He added: “The headline debt figure can look frightening, especially for lower earners, but what really matters for most people is the monthly repayment, not the balance.

“In that sense, student loans behave far more like a graduate tax than a conventional debt. But as earnings rise over time, the maths shifts — and paying the loan off can start to make sense.”

The research also highlighted growing concern among parents and grandparents, many of whom are considering paying university fees upfront to help younger family members avoid long-term debt.

Wood said: “From experience with clients, many parents and grandparents have high expectations for their children or grandchildren and assume they’ll go on to earn strong salaries. As a result, they often plan to pay university fees upfront to spare them the burden of student debt.

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“Grandparents may also see a double benefit: helping with fees now while potentially reducing a future inheritance tax bill. However, there’s no one-size-fits-all answer. The key is understanding how student loans actually work before making any irreversible decisions.”